Fireship's satirical, hype-filled prediction roundup for 2026. Classic Code Report sarcasm: future is shiny, broken, and billionaire-making... for now.
tldr
- •software engineering jobs still exist and growing (BLS predicts 15% through 2034)
- •AI coding tools create more "code janitor" cleanup work rather than full replacement
- •AI bubble not popped yet - LLMs plateaued (GPT-5 disappointed) but hype continues
- •massive IPO wave coming (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX?) → peak hype signal
- •quantum computing making real progress - could dwarf AI bubble when practical apps hit
software engineering jobs
- •BLS predicts 15% growth through 2034
- •AI creates "code janitor" work - cleanup, not replacement
- •H-1B visa fee hike ($100k) makes overseas hiring harder → good for domestic engineers
ai bubble status
- •not popped yet, more years of irrational valuations ahead
- •LLMs plateaued - GPT-5 disappointed
- •expect massive IPO wave in 2026 (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX)
- •IPOs = peak hype signal
humanoid robots
- •big year: 1X Neo taking orders for home chores
- •Figure/Tesla Optimus pushing factory use
- •still tele-operated and clunky
- •assembly lines ramping up thanks to Nvidia/Google tech
wearable ai / ar-vr
- •flops like Rabbit/Humane
- •OpenAI + Jony Ive wearable rumored
- •Nike battery-powered jumping shoes
- •AR/VR (Vision Pro flop, Meta push) stays niche/unprofitable
chips & infrastructure
- •winners: Nvidia, ARM, TSMC raking in AI profits
- •Intel saved by US gov stake (Trump era)
- •cloud power crunch → nuclear resurgence
- •small modular reactors (Oklo, Zuckerberg deal)
quantum computing
- •real progress: Google's Willow + quantum echoes algorithm
- •beats supercomputers on verifiable tasks
- •US/China race heating up
- •could dwarf AI bubble when practical apps hit
javascript & web dev
- •Node supports TypeScript natively
- •Deno + Bun improving (Bun adds Postgres/Redis)
- •React still dominates, compiler stable → sucks less
- •new framework to watch: Ripple
dystopian bits
- •Europe pushing digital IDs + CBDCs (digital euro pilot 2027)
- •AI killing jobs in spreadsheets/management/design/Stack Overflow