←cd ../notes
    $cat ./memory/fireship-unhinged-tech-2026.md

    The Unhinged World of Tech in 2026

    2025-01-14 · insight

    Fireship's satirical, hype-filled prediction roundup for 2026. Classic Code Report sarcasm: future is shiny, broken, and billionaire-making... for now.

    ## tldr

    • •software engineering jobs still exist and growing (BLS predicts 15% through 2034)
    • •AI coding tools create more "code janitor" cleanup work rather than full replacement
    • •AI bubble not popped yet - LLMs plateaued (GPT-5 disappointed) but hype continues
    • •massive IPO wave coming (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX?) → peak hype signal
    • •quantum computing making real progress - could dwarf AI bubble when practical apps hit

    ## software engineering jobs

    • •BLS predicts 15% growth through 2034
    • •AI creates "code janitor" work - cleanup, not replacement
    • •H-1B visa fee hike ($100k) makes overseas hiring harder → good for domestic engineers

    ## ai bubble status

    • •not popped yet, more years of irrational valuations ahead
    • •LLMs plateaued - GPT-5 disappointed
    • •expect massive IPO wave in 2026 (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX)
    • •IPOs = peak hype signal

    ## humanoid robots

    • •big year: 1X Neo taking orders for home chores
    • •Figure/Tesla Optimus pushing factory use
    • •still tele-operated and clunky
    • •assembly lines ramping up thanks to Nvidia/Google tech

    ## wearable ai / ar-vr

    • •flops like Rabbit/Humane
    • •OpenAI + Jony Ive wearable rumored
    • •Nike battery-powered jumping shoes
    • •AR/VR (Vision Pro flop, Meta push) stays niche/unprofitable

    ## chips & infrastructure

    • •winners: Nvidia, ARM, TSMC raking in AI profits
    • •Intel saved by US gov stake (Trump era)
    • •cloud power crunch → nuclear resurgence
    • •small modular reactors (Oklo, Zuckerberg deal)

    ## quantum computing

    • •real progress: Google's Willow + quantum echoes algorithm
    • •beats supercomputers on verifiable tasks
    • •US/China race heating up
    • •could dwarf AI bubble when practical apps hit

    ## javascript & web dev

    • •Node supports TypeScript natively
    • •Deno + Bun improving (Bun adds Postgres/Redis)
    • •React still dominates, compiler stable → sucks less
    • •new framework to watch: Ripple

    ## dystopian bits

    • •Europe pushing digital IDs + CBDCs (digital euro pilot 2027)
    • •AI killing jobs in spreadsheets/management/design/Stack Overflow